枪支、商品与治理：非法经济与叛乱组织的统治根基【RUSI】

COMMENTARYGuns,Goods and Governance:Illicit Economiesand the Foundations of Insurgent RuleDr Antonio Giustozzi,Dr Jos A.Gutirrez,Michael Jones,Jennifer Scotland and DrAlexandra Phelan3 October 202512 Minute ReadResearch across different geographies has increasinglyreshaped how the relationship between militancy,criminalityand legitimacy is understood,with important implications forconflict prevention and peace-making.Sat in Abuja contemplating the persistent levels of violence spread acrossnorthern Nigeria(from high rates of crime and kidnap-for-ransom tomilitancy in the North-East and a metastasising banditry problem in theNorth-West),an official conceded:most of time it is confusing,.stakeholders lack the understanding to properly categorise these conflictsand identify appropriate interventions.A resident in Yobe was blunter:bandits,criminals or terrorists?It doesnt really matter;theyre all the samepeople.Both were interviewed as part of RUSIs recently concluded OCTA programme,an investigation into grassroot perceptions and experiences of conflictspanning tracts of Nigeria and Mozambique,that captures the overlap andinterplay between discrete modes of insecurity.Amid numerous exa