胁迫地理：俄罗斯在乌克兰的导弹与无人机作战行动【CSIS】

INTRODUCTIONAs Russias war in Ukraine enters its fifth year in 2026,long-range firepower remains central to Moscows strategy of coercion.Russia uses a mix of ballistic missiles,cruise mis-siles,glide bombs,one-way attack drones,and first-person-view(FPV)drones to pressure Ukraine across different parts of the battlefield and the rear area.Because these systems serve varying purposes,glide bombs and artillery-heavy strikes are concentrated closer to the front,while ballis-tic and cruise missiles target higher-value infrastructure and military targets.Shahed-type one-way attack drones meanwhile enable Russia to expand the scale,frequency,and geographic reach of its strike campaign at relatively little expense.Russia uses firepower strikes as a form of coercion to impose military,economic,and psychological costs on the Ukrainian state and society so that Kyiv and its supporters will accept an outcome more favorable to Moscowa classic punishment strategy.To that end,Russia employs massed salvos comprised of ballistic missiles,cruise missiles,and one-way attack drones to hit targets behind the battlefields front lines.These strikes seek to weaken Ukraines ability to fight,disrupt the sy