CSBA_20110511_中国军事和民用太空计划的意义.pdf

TestimonyThinking Smarter About DefenseMay 2011The ImplIcaTIons of chInas mIlITary and cIvIl space programsBy Barry D.WattsTestimony presented before the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission on May 11,2011.Mr.Chairman and Members of the Commission,thank you for inviting me to testify at todays hearing.I will confine my comments to the Commissions questions on the overall context of the Peoples Republic of Chinas(PRCs)emerging use of orbital systems to support military modernization efforts such as the countrys emerging anti-access/area-denial(A2/AD)capabilities in the western Pacific,including the impact of the PRCs space program on the Chinese concept of Comprehensive National Power(CNP).Regarding the role that the PRCs space assets might play in U.S.-China conflict scenarios in the 2012-2020 timeframe,I will assess the likelihood of such conflicts occurring and argue that Chinas own growing military use of space may constrain their counterspace options in the long run to a greater extent than some of our war gaming has suggested.how has the military Use of space changed since the 1960s?The United States,starting with the first successful return of a film canister fr