有争议的水域 处理东海和南海争端[20121214].pdf

1、d e c e m b e r 2 0 1 2 by Patrick m.cronine a s t a n d s o u t h c h i n a s e a s b u L L e t i n 6Contested Waters:Managing Disputes in the East and South China SeasAbout this publicationthe bulletin series provides timely analysis and information on security issues in the east and south china s

2、eas.For further information,please contact infocnas.org.President Barack Obamas November 2012 trip to Southeast Asia did little to quell tensions in the East and South China Seas.His reiteration of U.S.support for a multilateral approach to averting disputes was rebuffed by China and avoided by the

3、Association of Southeast Asian Nations(ASEAN).No progress was made on a code of conduct,and ship movements in and around disputed seas appeared unchanged in the aftermath of the high-level diplomacy in Cambodia.Realistically,no breakthrough was expected.Diplomacy can attenu-ate these maritime tensio

4、ns but not resolve them.Friction in these contested waters is likely to persist for some time.But given what is at stake,Washington needs a coherent strategy for managing the intractable disputes in the East and South China Seas.Current trends strongly suggest that the Indo-Pacific region will provi