在北极与俄罗斯的航行关系[20211118].pdf

Navigating Relations with Russia in the ArcticA Roadmap for StabilityAndrea Kendall-Taylor,Jim Townsend,Lawson W.Brigham,and Nick LokkerNOVEMBER 2021CNAS Transatlantic Forum on Russia1State of PlayUntil recently,the Arctic was largely immune to the geopolitical tensions that play out between Russia and the transatlantic partners in other regions and on other issues.Indeed,the Arctic is one area where the United States and Russia,together with the other Arctic states,have engaged in quiet cooperation on issues including search and rescue,scientific research,and the environment.Such pragmatic cooperation has been possible in part because bilateral irritants are diffused by shared and cross-cutting interests among all eight Arctic states,as well as the regions multilayered governance regime.1 However,climate change and the Arctics melting sea ice have opened access and allowed for increased human activity,which,in turn,has amplified competition in the region.At stake are core national interests for the Arctic states,ranging from economic opportunities to security and stability.The regions growing importance and level of activity,alongside the lack of trust and limited dialogue on mili