迈向对俄罗斯制裁的新跨大西洋方法[20220217].pdf

Toward a New Transatlantic Approach to Russia SanctionsA Report of the Transatlantic Forum on RussiaEdward Fishman,Andrea Kendall-Taylor,and Angela StentFEBRUARY 2022CNAS Transatlantic Forum on Russia1IntroductionAs Russia continues to build its forces on Ukraines border,the United States and its allies have laid out the economic costs that Russian President Vladimir Putin would face for any further aggression against Ukraine.The Biden administration has stated it is willing to pursue“economic measures that weve refrained from using in the past.”1 In addition,the United States has indicated it is prepared to use export controls on U.S.-origin technologies that are key to Russias industrial sectors and potentially enact a Russia-focused Foreign Direct Product Rulea tool that,to date,has only been used against Huawei.It is unclear if such a package is enough to deter Putin,especially if he is intent on pursuing his maximalist objectivesautonomy for parts of eastern Ukraine that would give Russia a veto over Ukrainian foreign policy and closing NATOs door to Ukraine.Nonetheless,implementing such sanctions if Putin further escalates in Ukraine is critical for raising the costs to Putin