CNA_CNA 国家工艺研究所评估和应对伊斯兰国威胁会议：伦敦2015年6月11日.pdf

DCP-2015-U-011329-Final 1 3003 Washington Boulevard,Arlington,VA 22201 703-824-2000 cna.org CNA/The Institute for Statecraft Meeting on Evaluating and Countering the Threat from the Islamic State London,June 11,2015 Rapporteurs:Mary Ellen Connell and Christopher Donnelly,CMG On June 11,2015,a group of current and former senior government officials,military officers,and analysts gathered in London to exchange views on topics relating to security in the Middle East.1 The meeting was jointly convened by CNAs Center for Naval Analyses and the Institute for Statecraft,a British non-profit analytic organization founded in 2003 to study new security threats and to devise and implement responses.The discussion,held under the Chatham House rule of non-attribution,focused on evaluating and countering the threat from the Islamic State(IS).2 Key Points The Islamic State(IS,formerly ISIS)is both a religious and a political project.We initially underestimated the power of its appeal.IS primarily threatens the Shia and“modern”Sunni regimes in the Middle East and communities worldwide.IS considers them to be apostates who must repent or be eliminated.In the West,IS urges would-be jihadis to attack