RUSI 理解伊朗-以色列冲突

2025/6/17 11:10Understanding the Israel-Iran Conflict|Royal United Services Institutehttps:/www.rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications/commentary/understanding-israel-iran-conflict1/6COMMENTARYUnderstanding the Israel-Iran ConflictDr Julie Norman16 June 20257 Minute RaeadBoth Iran and Israel have good reason to see the currentcon?ict as existential,with few remaining mediators deemedreliable to a?ect de-escalation.On Friday 13 June,Israel launched an audacious attack against Iran,combining waves of targeted air strikes with covert sabotage operations toland simultaneous blows to Irans nuclear facilities,missile sites,radardefence systems,nuclear scientists,and military commanders.Iran has responded by launching drones and hundreds of ballistic missiles atIsrael(most,but not all,of which have been intercepted),vowing more severepunishment,as Israel warned that their own attacks on Iran would continuefor days or weeks.With the long simmering shadow war now fully out in theopen,the region is bracing for further escalation with uncertainrepercussions across and beyond the Middle East.Why Now?Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has sought to neutralise Tehransnuclear capabilit