与俄罗斯的军备控制和战略稳定[20211214].pdf

Arms Control and Strategic Stability with RussiaThe View from EuropeJon B.Wolfsthal and Andrea Kendall-Taylor DECEMBER 2021CNAS Transatlantic Forum on Russia1IntroductionThe United States and its NATO partners have successfully managed the challenge of deterrence and reassurance for generations.The risk of conflict,even nuclear conflict,with Russia remains all too real,especially as political and military competition continues to escalate,and as new technologies and capabilities come online that could further raise the risk of direct military confrontation between the United States and Russia.Ensuring clear,consistent,and constructive communication among officials and experts within the transatlantic security community about the potential dangers posed by Russian behavior,and how to effectively pursue greater stability together,will be essential if the alliance is to remain successful in the decades to come.The following assessment is informed by conversations among such experts committed to that goal.The memo identifies European allies and partners views,interests,and concerns about Americas emerging dialogue with Russia on arms control and strategic stability.It is intended to in