国际秩序与大国竞争：中亚的启示

POLICY BRIEF|FEBRUARY 2023INTERNATIONAL ORDERING AND GREAT POWER COMPETITION:LESSONS FROM CENTRAL ASIAALEXANDER COOLEY1FOREIGN POLICY AT BROOKINGSExecutive summaryRenewed strategic competition among the great powers is challenging and transforming the U.S.-led liberal international order.And this has important implications for the standing of U.S.bases abroad.Basing agreements in regions that are of acute interest may be undermined by revisionist powers,particularly China and Russia,as they further develop their regional security architectures,allocate and distribute rival nonmilitary public goods,and promote domestic political norms that are more aligned with the values and governance practices of often autocratic host country regimes.In Central Asia,revisionist efforts are already challenging regional U.S.leadership and undermining its capacity to establish overseas bases and access.Introduction Overseas U.S.basing agreements and their under-lying bargains are embedded in a broader ecology of“international orders”and emerging counterorders.In the initial post-Cold War period,when the U.S.-led liberal international order was dominant,the United States was able to secure overseas b